The Kashmir terrorist attack pushes India’s tensions – Pakistan to the brink of war World news

Experts have warned that the possibility of full war between India and Pakistan after a Bahama attack is close to the turning point. On April 22, a devastating militant attack in the Indian Jammu and Kashmir killed 26 people, on the occasion of one of the bloody incidents in the region since 2019. India blamed the Pakistan -based terrorist groups, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi to the outskirts of the attack “after its imagination.”

New Delhi has already suspended the Indus Water and has reduced diplomatic relations with Pakistan, indicating a severe escalation of bilateral tensions. Pakistan denies its involvement, but it is known about the Abdali missile to the surface during the weekend, adding that the launch “aims to ensure the operational readiness of the forces.”

In addition to the exacerbation of relations, the attack revealed the deep rift lines within the military and political leadership in Pakistan – especially about the role of army commander General Amer Monir, who is considered the most powerful man in the country.

Despite its general decrease since it took over in 2022, Monir drew attention a few days before the attack with a stunning speech to expatriates in Islamabad.

He said, “We are different from Hindus in every possible way,” describing the “vague vein” of Kashmir Pakistan and ever pledging to abandon the Kashmiris in “their heroic struggle against the Indian occupation.”

His first statement was not in this vein. On the day of Kashmir’s solidarity in February, he announced: “Pakistan has already fought three wars of Kashmir, and if 10 other wars are needed, Pakistan will fight them.”

But what might have passed when a routine speech gained a much greater weight after the Paalgam attack, which prompted speculation in India that Islamabad was behind the attack.

Joshua said. White, an expert in South Asia at Johns Hopkins University: “This was not a standard speech.”

“While the material is compatible with the ideological narration in Pakistan, the tone-especially the direct protest of Hindu and Muslims-made it infections in particular. Immediately before the attack, it is the complexity of any effort by Pakistan to demand restrictions or follow-up diplomacy of the back channel.”

Abdel Baytat, an older colleague at the College of International Studies in Singapore for International Studies (RSIS), said that Monir’s statements were unusually confronted.

He said: “Munir may have occurred at the present time. He said that the things that may not have sparked eyebrows in a special environment – but as the army commander, on a public platform, they pointed to a step in power.”

“It looked like a declaration that the direction of Pakistan was again in the hands of the army.”

On Thursday, he is standing on top of a tank during a military exercise, General Munir addressed the forces in this field. He said: “There will be no ambiguity.” “Any military adventure will be met by India with a quick, firm response.”

Munir’s military accreditation papers are enormous. After obtaining the sword of honor at the Pakistan Officers Training School in 1986, he led forces near the disputed Kashmir borders, and led both the leading intelligence agencies in Pakistan – including ISI – and obtained a master’s degree in public policy from the National Defense University in Islamabad. It was also trained in Japan and Malaysia.

But Munir is widely seen as different from the mood of his predecessor, General Qamar Jafid Bajwa.

His status as Hafiz-I Qur’an (a person memorizing the Qur’an) and the frequent focus on Islamic issues in military speeches indicates a global vision that is religiously affected-one of them says some analysts may constitute his approaches in the conflict in India-Pakistani.

Bajwa supported quiet diplomacy with India and warned during the 2019 Poloama crisis. Although Pakistan carried out a military response to the Indian air strikes, it refrained from escalation – as the Indian pilot, Abenandan Verhamman, launched a move to prevent war.

“Bajoa was open diplomatic channels and was running several fronts – Kashmir, Afghanistan, the withdrawal of the United States – with pragmatism,” said Bastite.

While the issue of Kashmir is widely seen in Pakistan as an interest of national security, other internal pressures fade, as Pakistani civilians screaming about their dissatisfaction with General Munir and the military establishment.

Fears of military transgression – the deep participation of the armed forces in political affairs, which are seen as undermining civil governance and democratic institutions – the reaction of repression to protests and opposition figures, including banning the social media platform x, feeding the army’s perceptions as a promising power.

X, formerly known as Twitter, has been insecure in Pakistan since February 2024. The Pakistani government has prevented access to the platform soon from the February elections, noting national security concerns.

This doubled by resentment of deepening to give priority to military financing. Despite facing severe economic challenges such as high inflation and unemployment, the military budget remained intact while social welfare decreased in real terms.

“Munir is under immediate and intense pressure to work,” Bastit added.

“He cannot afford long strategies, like Pajwa. It needs faster and more stable responses-at home and abroad.”